Strategy Note
30/06
Year 2023
Navigating Vietnam 2H23 – Enough sunlight, flowers will bloom
Strategy Note 622
We believe that the main growth driver for Vietnam’s economy in 2H23 will mainly come from the government’s economic support policies. Therefore, Vietnam’s key investment topics in the second half of 2023 will be closely related to an easing monetary…
07/06
Year 2023
Viet Nam money market chartbook – SBV cuts the policy rates for the 3rd time
Strategy Note 429
In May 25, the SBV decided to reduce some policy rates such as the refinancing rate (down 0.5% points), the ceiling deposit interest rate for 1-month to 6-month term (down by 0.5% points),.. The 12-month deposit interest rates of commercial…
02/06
Year 2023
Market Strategy June 2023 – Ready to take the opportunity
Strategy Note 391
VN-INDEX closed at 1,064.6pts (+1.5% mtd, +5.7% ytd) on May 25 2023. We believe the market’s rally was supported by: A series of supportive policies issued by the Government and the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) recently have solved some…
11/05
Year 2023
1Q23 Earnings review – A weak start for 2023
Strategy Note 308
1Q23 market aggregate earnings slumped by 18.1% yoy, improved from that of -31.9% yoy growth in 4Q22. Among companies under our coverage that have reported 1Q23 results, we see more disappointments than positive surprises as 46% missed our estimates. 1Q23…
05/05
Year 2023
Market Strategy May 2023 – Look for growth engines
Strategy Note 372
VN-INDEX closed at 1,041.4pts (-2,2% mtd, +3,4% ytd) on April 24 2023. We believe that the decrease could come from the following reasons: (1) Investor sentiment was cautious due to 1Q23 disappointing earnings results, (2) Vietnam’s PMI fell to 47.7pts…
31/03
Year 2023
Market Strategy April 2023 – Stay defensive, stay selective
Strategy Note 335
VN-INDEX closed at 1,052.3 pts (+2.7% mtd, +4.5% ytd) in Mar-23. We believe that the increase could come from the following reasons: (1) FED has delivered a less hawkish message on monetary policy amid global banking turmoil, (2) SBV cut…
30/03
Year 2023
ETF Monitor – EIB likely to be excluded from VNDiamond
Strategy Note 316
We estimate EIB might be excluded in this Apr review since its foreign ownership ratio does not match with requirements. Based on our estimate, TCB, GMD and MBB might be among top buy, while ACB and PNJ are likely in…
15/03
Year 2023
Commentary about Resolution No.33 & Decision 313 & 314 – Supportive measures have come
Strategy Note 313
The Government released Resolution No.33 on 11 Mar 2023 to reduce liquidity shortages for the property sector in the near term. Following up, the SBV issued two Decisions No. 313 and 314 adjusting down key policy rates. We believe the…
08/03
Year 2023
ETF Monitor – Tailwinds from new foreign ETFs inflows
Strategy Note 330
Together with the capital raising of Fubon ETF and the change in Vietnam portion of V.N.M ETF, we expect foreign inflows of c.VND6,100bn in the next couple of weeks. Based on our estimate, HPG, VCB, VNM might be among top…
01/03
Year 2023
Market Strategy March 2023 – Stay defensive, stay selective
Strategy Note 311
VN-INDEX closed at 1,054.28 pts (-5.1% mtd, +4.7% ytd) in Feb-23. We believe that the correction of the market can come from the following reasons (1) Rising concerns about the extension of Fed rate hike following the US inflation was…